Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.004084 0.004579 0.005136 0.005815 0.006626 0.007574 0.008780
2026-01-11 0.003364 0.003987 0.004748 0.005761 0.007107 0.008875 0.011457
2026-01-18 0.002964 0.003645 0.004523 0.005772 0.007564 0.010149 0.014388
2026-01-25 0.002636 0.003329 0.004258 0.005644 0.007756 0.011042 0.017001
2026-02-01 0.002353 0.003030 0.003965 0.005414 0.007728 0.011556 0.019121
2026-02-08 0.002125 0.002780 0.003706 0.005185 0.007646 0.011939 0.021113
2026-02-15 0.002012 0.002678 0.003647 0.005249 0.008043 0.013245 0.025521
2026-02-22 0.001876 0.002530 0.003501 0.005151 0.008136 0.013993 0.029027
2026-03-01 0.001748 0.002383 0.003343 0.005009 0.008121 0.014513 0.032231
2026-03-08 0.001643 0.002263 0.003215 0.004903 0.008153 0.015139 0.036100
2026-03-15 0.001598 0.002230 0.003222 0.005032 0.008668 0.016998 0.045115
2026-03-22 0.001562 0.002210 0.003246 0.005193 0.009275 0.019288 0.057901
2026-03-29 0.001500 0.002147 0.003203 0.005241 0.009694 0.021373 0.073245
2026-04-05 0.001427 0.002063 0.003118 0.005201 0.009913 0.023032 0.089693
2026-04-12 0.001370 0.002000 0.003062 0.005210 0.010255 0.025238 0.114410
2026-04-19 0.001299 0.001911 0.002954 0.005099 0.010276 0.026418 0.135640
2026-04-26 0.001223 0.001807 0.002811 0.004899 0.010032 0.026589 0.149647
2026-05-03 0.001153 0.001710 0.002674 0.004701 0.009760 0.026576 0.162891
2026-05-10 0.001122 0.001679 0.002656 0.004756 0.010189 0.029518 0.223641
2026-05-17 0.001075 0.001618 0.002579 0.004671 0.010208 0.030808 0.272180
2026-05-24 0.001027 0.001552 0.002488 0.004547 0.010095 0.031484 0.317667
2026-05-31 0.000986 0.001496 0.002414 0.004454 0.010059 0.032539 0.384718
2026-06-07 0.000971 0.001487 0.002428 0.004567 0.010678 0.037284 0.643153